The Potential Tools: 60 power, 60 arm, 50 field
Strengths: Extreme size and strength; 80-grade raw power; post-contact extension; above-average bat speed; uses all fields to display power; natural leverage in swing; athletic for size; shows pitch ID skills; patient approach at times; average reads and reactions in right field; average present run; plus-plus arm strength.
Weaknesses: Torque-heavy swing limits bat control; long limbs create long swing; aggressive approach and will expand the zone vs. spin; plenty of swing and miss in swing up in the zone and on inner half; K% will always be high; no true feel for barrel; run will slow as he ages; elite raw power will play down due to below-average hit tool; arm plays down due to length of arm action and accuracy; athleticism could slow as he ages; right field-only defensive profile.
Role Ceiling: 50; major league regular in right field.
Risk: Moderate; swing-and-miss swing; power utility in question; may not hit enough over longevity of career.
Summary: When you see Aaron Judge in person, it looks like he should be on the football field as a defensive lineman, or playing power forward on a basketball team. But when you see him hit in BP, you immediately understand why the Yankees made him a first-round pick. Judge has light tower power and it’s an easy 80 grade. In right field, Judge shows average reactions and enough mobility to stick there and with his premium strength, he has a plus arm. At the plate, Judge can show flashes of a solid approach and be selective. In those cases, when he gets a pitch to hit, he hits it a long, long way.
Too many times, though, Judge is overly aggressive, and he can be suspect on offspeed pitches. Judge’s long limbs equate to a long swing; he has extreme amounts of trouble catching up to velocity on the inner half. There is still work to do at the plate, and over the course of his minor league career, he has failed to show the ability to make adjustments. Judge has a longer development timeline on his horizon than the Yankees would like to see from a player coming out of college. It will be interesting to see how he handles the higher minor leagues.