With a full season now under his belt following Tommy John surgery in 2013, the former second rounder has yet to see his collegiate velocity return to his left arm. Previously a wielder of low- to mid-90s fastballs, Overton worked more regularly in the upper 80s in 2015 and continues to operate in that range in 2016, touching the low 90s periodically. The lefty relies now on solid command, a bit of crossfire deception, and an average three-pitch mix that includes his fringy fastball, a late-fading changeup and average curveball.
Through his first two starts of the year, Overton has shown both his strengths and his weaknesses, mixing his arsenal and playing to the black, racking up ten Ks in 9 IP (eight of which came in just four innings against a light-hitting Oklahoma City Dodgers’ lineup). Unfortunately, Overton can struggle to put hitters away when he isn’t hitting his spots, and the stuff can be quite hittable when catching too much of the plate too often. The parts add up to a potential back-end arm. Should he fall short of a rotation spot, it’s likely swingman work, as he may need a little more out of his curveball to profile as an effective lefty-specialist –Nick J. Faleris